Warning: Cannot modify header information - headers already sent by (output started at /home/dailyeconomist/public_html/wp-content/themes/newsportal/include/excerpt.php:1) in /home/dailyeconomist/public_html/wp-includes/feed-rss2.php on line 8
Opinion – The Daily Economist https://dailyeconomist.net National Daily English Newspaper Mon, 24 Jan 2022 06:15:36 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.7.5 https://dailyeconomist.net/wp-content/uploads/2020/11/cropped-12-32x32.jpg Opinion – The Daily Economist https://dailyeconomist.net 32 32 Green logistics: the ultimate future in world economy https://dailyeconomist.net/opinion/news/31202/ https://dailyeconomist.net/opinion/news/31202/#respond Mon, 24 Jan 2022 06:15:36 +0000 https://dailyeconomist.net/?p=31202 An eco-friendly transport system is inevitable in the ever-changing world where carbon emission is leading to global warming. It is the responsibility of the world leaders to get united and reach a sustainable agreement to limit carbon emissions and reduce global warming.

Transport manufacturers and users also must play a significant role in reducing carbon emissions and making transportation an environment-friendly business to run the wheel of the global economy.

UNDERSTANDING GREEN LOGISTICS

Green logistics ideals of encompassing energy-saving measures, complying with environmental regulations and coping with rising supply costs by adopting effective technologies, are becoming major issues in the world’s logistics arena. This green or eco-friendly logistics in the worldwide supply chain lets a country or a company evolve new technologies and devise policies aiming to cut carbon emissions, making business sustainable and establishing strategic advantages over the competition.

The logistics industry needs to make a measurable and sustainable policy to minimise the environmental impact on transportation, warehousing, and other logistics activities.

The concept is not new.

Various elements in the research work focus on taking steps to reduce carbon dioxide emissions and use alternative energy sources widely.

They underlined the need to invest in vehicle designing and transport infrastructure that can withstand the adverse effects of climate change.

Green logistics aims to find a balance between ecology and economy. Green transportation is effective in taking measures to become competitive amid rising supply costs. Transport is considered green when it supports environmental sustainability, emits low carbon, is economical and is socially acceptable. In a nutshell, green logistics could be termed as ‘Environment-Friendly Transport System’.

WHY WORLD FOCUSING ON GREEN LOGISTICS

There are compelling reasons why green logistics is gaining ground. Green logistics policies represent a strategic advantage over the competition. Not only do they revalue the brand and set it apart, but they also prepare a company for the future, which inevitably must be sustainable.

The transport sector is a major source of greenhouse gas emissions worldwide, creating direct and harmful effects on the environment and other indirect effects.

Existing logistics systems affect the environment in various ways. For example, aviation emissions vary based on the length of the flight. In road transportation, cars, buses, and rails do have different types of emissions.

Emissions from ships have much more significant environmental effects. Many ships go internationally from port to port for long sails that contribute to air and water pollution during their voyages. In this scenario, the world think tank is devising policies to reduce these emissions from ships by using evolving green technologies to introduce green logistics globally.

HOW ADVANCED COUNTRIES ARE SHIFTING TO GREEN LOGISTICS

Governments around the world are adopting various measures to combat rising global warming, including reducing emissions and using green energy and advanced technologies. Large companies want to reduce the disproportionate share of oil consumption and cut greenhouse gas emissions by adopting fuel efficiency and devising emissions-control technologies.

Several of the world’s leading logistics companies are now incorporating this issue into their business strategies. They are adjusting their objectives to make a difference in the existing transportation systems.

It also applies to their partnership with their customers and service providers. They encourage and assist their customers in implementing measures that promote environmental sustainability.

Global logistics firms are laying out environmental policies with the help of their environment team, global product heads, and green teams all over the world to put in place steps to reduce carbon gases. Corporate organisations analyse their customers’ supply chains and recommend sustainable strategies such as modal changes, supply chain speed optimisation, warehouse space optimisation, freight consolidation, and data-driven decision making.

Green freight programmes promote these technologies and practices across the freight sector to help cut costs, track carbon – emissions and benefit the environment.

The advanced logistics companies hope to improve the real-world energy efficiency and environmental performance of freight systems through the projects, which will focus on technology and its effects on supply chain operations. They maintain a close eye on policies that enhance regulatory efficiency, market-based initiatives, and budgetary measures.

They are working together on several action plans aimed at developing and aligning green freight programmes around the world while also reducing short-lived climate pollutants like black carbon.

The action plan has received support from over 50 organisations and governments, creating a platform for global and regional cooperation. Furthermore, global retailers have pledged to use ocean freight services only powered by zero-carbon marine fuels.

RECOMMENDATIONS FOR BANGLADESH

Bangladesh’s government is prioritising climate change in its policymaking to take measures to cut carbon emissions and effectively confront any disaster caused by global warming.

Air and water pollution are high in urban areas. Adopting green logistics systems is a way that can help the country control pollution by imposing and devising rules and policies.

Existing ports, inland container terminals, depots, and a variety of other facilities could be brought under an integrated service system under which ships will travel fewer, shorter routes and use environmentally friendly logistics systems to ensure green growth in the country by creating jobs, reducing environmental pollution, ensuring sustainable resource use, proper waste management, and introducing renewable energy-powered vehicles.

Waterways and railways are still underutilised though these are environment friendly and can reduce the dependency on transportation by road and logistics costs.

Bangladesh has a better opportunity to use river transportation for domestic supply chain management, thus saving costs and supporting the environment. The government should expedite the river dredging process and protect the rivers from filling up.

Besides, the authorities must build a sufficient number of modern river ports supported by adequate technology and required facilities.

A supply chain requires all of its parts to function smoothly all the time. Failures are not isolated to one segment, nor can they be fixed with a simple increase in prices or fees, or by some rapid changes in techniques. Any temporary or short-term initiatives to overcome these challenges are not going to resolve the current bottleneck. We need a comprehensive overhaul of the entire landside operations.

The writer is a logistician and president of the AmCham in Bangladesh

]]>
https://dailyeconomist.net/opinion/news/31202/feed/ 0
Crisis on the Suez Canal https://dailyeconomist.net/opinion/news/25634/ https://dailyeconomist.net/opinion/news/25634/#respond Mon, 29 Mar 2021 03:56:07 +0000 https://dailyeconomist.net/?p=25634 On Tuesday, March 23, the giant container ship Ever Given, operated by the company Evergreen ran aground in the southern part of the Suez Canal, north bound to the Netherlands from China.  The ship turned sideways and now completely blocks the canal.   400 Meters long, carrying 20,000 containers it is one of the world’s largest container ships.  The owners announced that it had been blown off course by heavy winds, that would be an “act of God” and lift responsibility for damages and losses from the owners.  One can say that understanding the forces on a ship moving though a waterway whose dimensions are similar to those of the ship is an extremely complex problem in hydrodynamics, and is long been studied by ship engineers.

The impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on the world economy in second quarter of 2020 had reduced the volume of international trade flows very sharply.   Recovery began slowly in the third quarter and then accelerated in the fourth quarter of 2020 and the first quarter of 2021.  It is now widely believed that the United States economy will show rapid growth in 2021. The Chinese economy is already recovering rapidly, With such expectations retailers in the United States began to place large orders; the European economies would not be far behind.

Demands for shipping space rose and the costs of shipment went up rapidly at the same time.  The share prices of many shipping companies also began to rise in the various world stock markets.

The Suez Canal plays a key role in international shipping and 10-15 per cent of world trade [by volume] passes through the canal. About 50 ships clear the canal every day; of which about 25 per cent are container ships and 15 per cent oil and chemical tankers and 35 per cent bulk carriers. Stopping flow through the canal for a few days will play havoc stranding goods, confronting operators with terrible choices as to whether to send the ships around Africa, a trip that takes 7-9 days longer.  There is fear of piracy with all these ships stranded at the canal and even more if the ships are diverted along the East African coast where the pirates are very active.  Some shipping lines have been in contact with the US Navy seeking protection from the pirates. Already oil prices are rising although that is a temporary phenomenon.   Several large container and LNG carriers are already reported to have changed direction and sail around Africa.

No one knows how long opening the canal will take.  From various comments in the press we would say the average expectation is 8 more days starting from Saturday March 27 for a total of 11 days.   The estimated cost is $9 billion per day suggesting the hit on the world economy would be $100 billion and that does not count all the costs.

Problems for Bangladesh 1: RMG Sector

Freight charges for general cargos both incoming and outgoing will see a temporary increase on top of costs that were already rising. There may be an increase in the spot price of heavy fuel oil, diesel and LNG.  Soybean prices will rise as will the transport costs.

Disruption in shipping may cause difficulties for projects with scheduled construction plans.  All such disruptions will be temporary and cause annoyance.  The real problems are for the apparel sector and the pharmaceutical sector.   These problems arise from the disruption in the apparel and textile supply chains and the chaos we can expect in air cargo movements and costs.

The first problem is the payments for apparel company loans for imports of fabrics and other accessories that come under the back to back L/C procedures and the borrowing from the Export Development Fund.  BGMEA can readily identify cargos that are underway and scheduled to pass through the Suez Canal.  This is a task that should be undertaken immediately with Bangladesh Bank and Customs.

If the shipping disruption causes difficulty in paying the back to back L/C then Bangladesh Bank can instruct the paying bank to open a loan for the apparel company, pay off the L/C and refinance through the Bangladesh Bank at zero interest to be passed on the apparel company at 0.5 per cent.  This should include the purchases of yarn by the knitting factories. from local textile factories.  The commercial bank must verify that the paper work is done correctly and all of these L/Cs must be paid on time.  Each such transaction is matched to the cargos on the way whose delivery times are impacted by the shipping crisis.  Bangladesh Bank can extend the loan from the EDF at zero interest for the additional time due to the disruption.  The length of these loans would be determined by an estimate of the delay in delivery of the garments.  Once that period is passed the interest of the loan would return to 9 per cent.  This effectively protects the RMG factory from the longer shipping time.

The buyers may demand additional time to pay for the garments [there is no reason why they should but they will!!].  We think BB should deal with this encouraging the banks to lend money for the value of the order [less the cost of inputs covered in the previous paragraph] for the period of shipping delay at 8 per cent. The banks discount this with BB at 3 per cent.  This puts the earnings in the hands of the factories on the payment schedule that would have occurred in the absence of the accident.  The commercial bank spread is above their normal level so the banks should be happy to do this.

The last point is one that the BB can do immediately:  The back log in export subsidies for apparel exports should be cleared up in the next month and then the delay should never exceed two months.   Payments to be made on the export documents and corrected when the payments come in.  The industry needs a boost in the current situation and this is an easy way to do it.  It is a scandal that BB should delay these payments as long as they do.

 

The government should increase the subsidy to 4 per cent for exports made during the next three months.  We believe that if BB tackles this seriously they can prevent corruption.

Problems for Bangladesh 2: Air Cargo

We have written repeatedly about the problems in management of air cargo.   The Government has dragged its feet and accomplished little in improving the situation.  Now there is a looming crisis that may do immense harm to the economy.   Who is going to take the blame for this?

Due to the Suez Canal accident the bookings for air cargo are rising.  Some shippers expect to use air cargo for important time sensitive items.  Air cargo prices are shooting up in Asia.  Some RMG companies will be asked by the buyer to use air freight.  Will there be enough air cargo space? Space is reduced as the commercial passenger flights are much lower. Will the current export facilities be sufficient to handle the demand?  More inputs may also be shipped by air cargo.  In industries such as pharmaceuticals the costs will rise, and air cargo space may be insufficient.  We anticipate that industries that use air cargo extensively or will use it to correct for the disruption of ocean transport will find their costs increased and perhaps will not be able to even get service.

In this emergency the air cargo exports should shift to management through “off docks”.  Government should establish a speedy contract procedure for the next year to untangle the exports and imports through air cargo.  We will not here repeat the actions that are needed.

Immediate actions are needed to ensure that a significant increase in air cargo can be managed over the next six months.

Conclusions:

The Suez Canal blockage is going to cause serious problems for the apparel sector and for the pharma industry.  We have suggested a number of financial actions that will assist the apparel sector in getting through this blow.  The general point is that the society should pay the costs of disaster such as this and not the particular company on which it falls.

The government has neglected the air cargo sector and now faces the kind of disaster that we have feared.  It would do tremendous good if the crisis that is now beginning is used to achieve a major improvement in air cargo handling.

 

Ershad Ahmed is a advisory editor of the Daily Economist,logistics specialist and Amcham presiden. Forrest Cookson is an economis and former president of Amcham.

]]>
https://dailyeconomist.net/opinion/news/25634/feed/ 0
Sheikh Hasina: Trust Shelter of Bangladesh https://dailyeconomist.net/opinion/news/2696/ https://dailyeconomist.net/opinion/news/2696/#respond Sun, 17 Jan 2021 08:14:11 +0000 https://dailyeconomist.net/?p=2696 Today, Sheikh Hasina’s contribution as a successful statesman is internationally recognized. She has already been awarded various titles and honours internationally for the establishment of democracy, improvement of health status, reduction of child mortality, use of information technology, poverty alleviation, development and establishing brotherhood, harmony and peace among nations. Numerous prestigious medals, awards and recognition feathers are now being added to Sheikh Hasina’s crown one by one.
Bangabandhu’s worthy daughter grew up in rural Bengal with common people. Being born in a political family, she was engaged in politics since her student life. As a leader of Chhatra League, she took an active part in the anti-Ayub movement and 6-point movement. She was elected Vice President (VP) of Chhatra Shangshad while she was a student of Badrunnesa Girls ‘College, the-then Intermediate Govt. Girls’ College, Dhaka,
The 6-point demand raised by Bangabandhu in 1967 created an unprecedented national awakening in the-then East Pakistan. The Pakistani ruler arrested Bangabandhu. Intense repression began. The Agartala conspiracy case was filed against Bangabandhu while she was in custody. In these stormy days, Sheikh Hasina got married to nuclear scientist MA Wazed Miah in 1968. Shortly after the marriage, the 11-point movement, the mass uprising of ’69 began. Sheikh Hasina also took active part there as a BCL leader.
On 15th August 1975, one of the most barbaric and stigmatized chapters in the history of Bangladesh were written by some Kulangars and Mir Jafras. On that dreadful 15th August night, the best son of the Bengali nation, Bangabandhu Sheikh Mujibur Rahman and his family members were brutally killed by the ruthless bullets of the assassin. The hyenas did not allow Bangabandhu’s pregnant daughter-in-law, including the little baby Russel, to survive.
Bangabandhu’s daughters Sheikh Hasina and Sheikh Rehana survived as they were abroad at that time. The killers and their accomplices have repeatedly tried to erase Bangabandhu’s name from history. After the assassination of Bangabandhu Sheikh Mujibur Rahman and his family on 15 August 1975 and the assassination of four national leaders on 3 November, the Awami League became leaderless. At that time domestic and foreign conspirators tried to divide and make groups within the Awami League.
Johra Tajuddin took the helm of the party and organized the leaders and workers around the country. There were conflicts and differences of opinion within the leadership and there were bracket politics.
At that time Sheikh Hasina was elected party president at the biennial conference of Awami League to bring the divided Awami League leaders back to the mainstream. Sheikh Hasina returned home on 16 May 1981, ignoring the prohibitions of the military rulers. Under the leadership of the people’s leader Sheikh Hasina, the fire of revolt against the dictatorship ignited in the skies of Bangladesh. At that time Awami League President Sheikh Hasina was placed under house arrest. On her return to the country, she declared that democracy must be established. To that end, the movement was started under her leadership. All the opposition parties took part in the anti-authoritarian movement led by Sheikh Hasina. The dictator fell in a successful movement.
With the victory of the Awami League on June 12, 1996, parliamentary elections, Sheikh Hasina was elected Prime Minister of Bangladesh for the first time. The historic Ganges river water sharing agreement was signed with India during her tenure. The historic Chittagong Hill Tracts Peace Agreement was signed on 2 December 1997 with the Jana Sanghati Samiti for Peace in the Hill Tracts. This marked the end of a long 22-year bloody war. The air of peace prevailed among the hill people and the Bengalis, and a bridge of harmony was formed. The overall development of the country is not achieved by leaving any part of the country behind. This realization and bold step is the result of the thinking of the statesman Sheikh Hasina, the historic Hill Tracts Peace Accord was signed on February 10, 1996.
The peace agreement was a symbol of the unprecedented development of communication in the mountains. In hilly areas, people of all professions are getting a fair price for their products. The tourism industry is developing. The local economy is also evolving, the benefits of which are being enjoyed by the entire nation today.
Sheikh Hasina has been honoured by various organizations around the world for her outstanding contribution to social work, peace and stability. Sheikh Hasina was awarded the HUPE-Boani Peace Prize in 1997 for her outstanding and unimaginable contribution to sign and implementation of the peace agreement in the Chittagong Hill Tracts.
The magic that she has shown the world from a statesman to a world leader has now become a role model. Bangladesh has now achieved food self-sufficiency. The growth rate has exceeded 7.4 per cent. Which is currently 7.9 per cent. Inflation came down to 1.59 per cent.
The historic victory was achieved under the perfect leadership of Sheikh Hasina in the ninth parliamentary elections held on 29 December 2008. The Awami League alone won more than three-fourth seats. On January 8, 2009, she became the Prime Minister for the second time. A grand alliance government was formed. Sheikh Hasina brought back constitutional continuity to the country through the 10th parliamentary elections on January 5, 2014, and took over as the Prime Minister for the third time. She has got the opportunity to run the country for the fourth time by setting a record by holding the elections held with the participation of all parties in the Eleventh Parliamentary Election of 2016. The countrymen are reaping the benefits of her steps today. As a country of immense potential, Bangladesh is moving forward at an irresistible pace.
Sheikh Hasina is the name of crossing the colourful thorny and slippery path of a colourful struggle and crossing the life like a sapphire. She was imprisoned and placed under house arrest several times during the military dictatorship. Repeatedly her life was in danger. At least 19 attempts have been made to kill her! But by the infinite grace of the Creator, she has remained steadfast in achieving her goal with infinite courage, even at the risk of her life.
Her personal life filled with simplicity. Her personality has been developed in the ideals of intellect, hard work, courage, patience, patriotism and sacrifice. There is no trace of luxury or artificiality in the way of life. Becoming a world leader from this compassionate public leader is the great strength of the great creator and the love of people is her great strength.
Sheikh Hasina, the leader of world humanity, endowed with innumerable virtues, is, on the one hand, a devotee of state affairs and on the other hand a symbol of extreme piety and honesty. She started her day with regular Fajr prayers and recitation of the Holy Qur’an. She has performed the holy Hajj several times.
Pure patriotism, foresight, determination and quality of life rich in human qualities have made her a world leader. Sheikh Hasina is a skilled craftsman to build a modern Bangladesh by changing the course of the 21st-century journey.
Today, Sheikh Hasina, the daughter of Bangabandhu, is fulfilling the dream of Father of the Nation Bangabandhu Sheikh Mujibur Rahman.
Bangladesh has moved from a least developed country to a developing country under her magical leadership. Praising Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina, various organizations, leaders and media of the world have given various titles. Here are some of them: “Lady of Dhaka” – Forbes, an influential US-based business magazine, “Mother of Humanity” – British media. “Charismatic Leader” – Egyptian Ambassador Mahmoud Izzat. “New Star of the East” – UAE newspaper Khaleej Times. “World leader” – India’s BJP vice president and member of parliament. Vinay Prabhakar. “Pillars of Women’s Rights” – Mary Claude Bibeau, Minister for International Development of Canada. “Ambassadors of World Peace” Three teachers in the Department of Peace Studies at Columbia University, Oxford Network of Peace “Joan of Arc” – Sri Lanka Guardian. “Light of world humanity” – Nobel laureate Kailash Satyarthi. “The Conscience of World Humanity” – Colombian President Juan Manuel Santos. “Rare humanitarian leader” – Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan.
Just as Bangabandhu was determined to build a golden Bengal, she is now a reflection of a liberal, democratic and non-communal Bangladesh in the spirit of the war of liberation. Ignoring hundreds of obstacles and death threats, Sheikh Hasina continues to fight for the right to rice and the basic rights of the people. Under her leadership, the people of Bangladesh have achieved democracy and freedom of speech. Bangladesh has gotten the status of a middle-income country from a low-income country.
Sheikh Hasina has been awarded various degrees and awards by several universities and institutions around the world for her outstanding contribution to peacebuilding, the institutionalization of democracy and socio-economic development. Boston University in the United States, University of Bridgeport and Barry University, Waseda University in Japan, Aberdeen University in Scotland, Visva-Bharati and Tripura Universities in India, National University in Australia, the world-renowned Catholic University in Brussels, People’s Friendship University in Russia and State University of Petersburg Dhaka University and Bangabandhu Sheikh Mujibur Rahman Agricultural University awarded her an honorary doctorate degree. She was also awarded a diploma by the University of Dauphine in France.
On April 9, 2000, Randall Macon Women’s College in the United States awarded the prestigious “Pearl S. Buck” 99 Award for the courage and foresight of Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina in the political, economic and human rights fields. The UN World Food Program awarded Sheikh Hasina the prestigious Ceres Medal in recognition of her contribution to the movement against hunger.
The All India Peace Union awarded Sheikh Hasina the ‘Mother Teresa’ medal in 1996. In 1997, she was awarded the Paul Haris Fellowship by the International Rotary Foundation. He was awarded the Netaji Subhash Chandra Bose Memorial Medal in 1996 by the West Bengal All India Congress. She was awarded the Medal of Distinction by the International Lions Club in 1997-98.
In 2009, the Indira Gandhi Memorial Trust of India awarded the Indira Gandhi Award to Sheikh Hasina for her outstanding role in establishing peace and democracy. She has also been awarded the UK’s Global Diversity Award and twice the South Award.
In 2014, UNESCO awarded her the ‘Tree of Peace’ and in 2015 the Women in Parliaments Global Forum awarded her the ‘Regional Leadership’ Award for Women’s Empowerment and the Global South-South Development Expo-2014 Visionary Award.
She was awarded the Certificate of Honor in 2015 by Cornell University of America for her continued support for the development of agriculture in Bangladesh, for achieving self-sufficiency in food production and for her contribution to the development of science and technology. The United Nations Environment Program (UNEP) has awarded Sheikh Hasina the highest award, the ‘Champion of the Earth-2015’, in the Leadership category for her outstanding contribution to the environment and sustainable development at home and abroad.
In addition, the International Telecommunication Union (ITU) awarded Sheikh Hasina the ICTs in Sustainable Development Award-2015 for the implementation of sustainable digital programs. The International Telecommunication Union (ITU) also awarded Sheikh Hasina the ICTs in Sustainable Development Award-2015 for the implementation of sustainable digital programs.
Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina’s decision to take logical and immediate action to suppress the BDR insurgency with a strong hand with immense patience, prudence and courage was a far-sighted decision. BDR mutiny destroys state stability, exploits long-standing anger of Bangladesh Rifles. The state-sponsored steps taken by the Prime Minister to thwart the conspiracy to destroy the skilled and trained forces through conspiracies hatched by some vested interest to disrupt social security were prudent, far-sighted, courageous and timely. Our law enforcement has already demonstrated considerable efficiency in combating militancy. And that has been possible because of Sheikh Hasina’s zero-tolerance policy. For this, the issue of brutal killings in Holi Artizan, arson in buses and terrorism and suppression of militancy under the right direction of Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina is an excellent example to the world.
At present, our only place of trust is our Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina. Who is fighting for the peace of the whole world? She is overseeing every action, from the coronavirus epidemic to any calamity and crisis of the nation, giving necessary directions and decisions and monitoring the implementation of the decisions. She is one of the most sensitive, far-sighted and timely decision-makers in the world.
According to Forbes, Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina is ranked 26th among the 100 most powerful women in the world.
If non-politicians can be removed from the Forbes list, then Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina will move to 3rd position. According to Forbes rules, Sheikh Hasina is the 3rd most powerful woman in the world.
When the violence against the Rohingya minority started in the Arakan state of Myanmar, the number of Rohingya refugees in Bangladesh increased. The countrymen and the world community were shocked by this horrible intrusion. The courageous, far-sighted and humane leader of the time emerged in her image when politicians, local masses, civil society economists were indifferent, hesitant to find a way out.
Sheikh Hasina said, “If we can provide food to 160 million people, we will be able to procure food for another 12 lakh people; If necessary, share food; We cannot return these oppressed people. ”
She has been hailed as the ‘conscience of world humanity’ for providing food, clothing, shelter, education and medical care to more than 1.2 million Rohingya refugees in Bangladesh who have been sheltered. While failing to take appropriate action, Sheikh Hasina surprised the world by providing basic necessities for the Rohingyas in Bhasanchar.
At the last 63rd and 74th sessions of the United Nations and also in the 65th virtual session of this year, world leaders are full of praise for her humanitarian example. Pure patriotism, foresight, determination and humane qualities have made her a world leader. Sheikh Hasina is a skilled craftsman to build the modern world by changing the day in the journey of the 21st century.
The famous British media, Channel Four, called her “Mother of Humanity”. “The new sun of the East,” says Dubai’s influential daily Khaleej Times. At a BJP reception in Delhi, veteran BJP leader LK Advani said of Sheikh Hasina in the presence of Prime Minister Narendra Modi, “Sheikh Hasina is the current key leader of South Asia.”
Many honours and recognitions for Sheikh Hasina have come from different countries, governments, universities, institutions, United Nations all over the world. She has been invited several times to give advice on various issues and to attend the G7 conference, the organization of the seven most powerful countries in the world. The United Nations has named her “Champion of the Earth” for her role in shaping global public opinion in tackling climate change, leading the way in developing countries.
As a result of Sheikh Hasina’s policy of women’s development, she was awarded the UN Women “Agent of Change” award by the United Nations for her participation and increased leadership in all walks of life. This internationally recognized world leader is now playing an important role in solving not only Bangladesh but also international problems.
Sheikh Hasina is not only the leader of Bangladesh; she is now the world leader. Today, Sheikh Hasina is being praised in all countries of the world. Seeing Sheikh Hasina’s state management and development, world leaders took advice from her. She is not afraid of any movement, does not compromise and bow down to injustice.
That is why it is only possible for Sheikh Hasina to show courage to build such a big bridge like Padma Bridge with local funds by challenging the World Bank, Asian Development Bank, JICA and Islamic Development Bank.
Although nearly fifty years of independence have passed, the country has ensured the trial of war criminals with transparency through the International Criminal Tribunal, ignoring the eyes of foreigners.
Sheikh Hasina is the Athena of the revived Bangladesh. Athena is the divinity of courage, wisdom, strategy, patience, justice, and culture, inspired by the mythical Greeks; As she provided courage and morale in all their desires, she is standing in front of us today as a worthy daughter of Bangabandhu in contemporary Bangladesh, as a divinity, to elevate the fragrance and glory of Bengalis in a new consciousness.
At the national and international level, in the social and political life and in the face of any natural calamity, Sheikh Hasina is moving forward in a slow and unwavering manner. The most logical and effective advice and direction of the time come only from her brain. So today we have no hesitation in saying that Sheikh Hasina is the trust shelter of Bangladesh.

-The writer is Commissioner of Anti-Corruption Commission (ACC) and former Senior Secretary of the government of the peoples republic of Bangladesh.

]]>
https://dailyeconomist.net/opinion/news/2696/feed/ 0
Who will Bangladesh side with in the US-China conflict? https://dailyeconomist.net/opinion/news/1618/ https://dailyeconomist.net/opinion/news/1618/#respond Thu, 17 Dec 2020 09:27:09 +0000 https://dailyeconomist.net/?p=1618 The United States wants Bangladesh’s participation in its strategy for the Indo-Pacific region. During a video conference on 15 September, the US deputy assistant secretary of state Laura Stone, apprised newsmen in Dhaka about the matter. The US defence secretary earlier had called our prime minister over phone. A news release of the US defence department said that they had discussed various issues including tackling COVID-19 and also the US Indo-Pacific strategy. The main objective of the US Indo-Pacific strategy is to contain China’s influence in the region.A recently published book, Rage, which stirred the US politics, reveals certain hitherto unexposed facts about how the contest between the US and China is steadily ramping up. The book describes what president Trump had said to the author, renowned journalist Bob Woodward, when he called the writer on 7 February. It mentions the tensions between the US and China and also how far the pandemic had been perceived as serious. Trump also revealed his version of his phone conversation with president Xi on the day before.Trump had previously told Woodward that the ‘Made in China 2025’ plan would overtake the US in 10 hi-tech industries. He told Woodward that he had informed Xi that this was very insulting to him. In the meantime he proudly explained on how far he had managed to harm China’s trade.The US administration’s foreign policy priorities in recent times make it clear that they see China as their potential rival in the global arena. So in the backdrop of the new Cold War that is clearly emerging on the scene, it is essential that we weigh the odds of the US Indo-Pacific strategy.It is rather surprising that the left, centre and right wing political parties in Bangladesh, particularly the religion-based parties, have remained silent till now on this issue.Just what is the US Indo-Pacific strategy? Its main objective is to ostensibly keep the world’s most important maritime trade routes free and safe. The importance of this region is that more than half the world’s population lives here and these economies are fast flourishing. India has a special position in this Indo-Pacific strategy of the US.There is a reference of this in a statement made on 11 January 2018 by the US ambassador in New Delhi, Kenneth Juster. India has been given recognition in the US national defence strategy as a leading power in the Indo-Pacific region and beyond. He said that meant they would continue in their support for India as power capable of responding successfully to threats to peace, especially in the Indian Ocean and its vicinity.The other objectives he mentioned included ensuring a free and open Indo-Pacific region with freedom of navigation, overflight, and commerce, and other lawful uses of the sea, promoting respect for sovereignty and territorial integrity, preventing the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction, and eliminating the scourge of terrorism. He also spoke of cooperation in expanding South Asian regional cooperation.It is not clear as yet whether Delhi has said anything to Dhaka about Bangladesh’s involvement in the US Indo-Pacific strategy. Neither side have spoken up. However, it is very natural that India will express its expectations in this regard during unofficial discussions. This is all the more likely, given the heightened tensions between India and China in recent times.The US has declared Xinhua, People’s Daily, China Global Television Network and similar media outlets as part of the embassy and has taken steps such as restricting their staff. Countering the US steps, China cancelled the visas of some correspondents of Wall Street Journal, Washington Post and others in Beijing and restricted their activities.The recent military clashes between China and India have been cited when justifying the US Indo-Pacific strategy. In the hearing of the US Senate’s foreign affairs committee on 18 September, assistant secretary for East Asia and Pacific affairs David R Stilwell termed China as a ‘lawless bully’. He gave an account of Beijing’s behaviour over the past few months, mentioning violence along the Indian border and its aggressive actions in the South China Sea.Mr Stillwell deliberated in detail on Trump administration’s strategy to deal with the situation. He said that the US and the international community had long worked on the premise that if China’s inclusion in the international system was facilitated, the country would bring about reforms and become more open. But China’s foreign and defence policy was run on petty self interest and the Chinese Communist Party was disrupting the international environment to achieve their authoritarian objectives and emerging in a new form.Our relations with neighbour India may have reached new heights, but we maintained our equidistance during the China-India clashes at the Ladakh border. Naturally this has worried India. The Indian media has been critical of Bangladesh’s close economic ties with China.Quoting Mike Pompeii, he said that the foreign policy that he thought about every morning was China. For quite some time now the US has been steadily declaring restrictions and regulations, all targeting China. These included duty on goods imported from China, restrictions on investment, restrictions on Huwaei’s 5G mobile technology in the US and outside, taking action against WeChat and such social communication platforms, human rights related prohibitions, countering China’s clamp down in Hong Kong’s pro-democracy movement and so on.In response to China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), the US has highlighted the high interest rate on China’s loans and the political as well as security risks involved in Chinese investment. In order to control the flow of information and publicity, the US has declared Xinhua, People’s Daily, China Global Television Network and similar media outlets as part of the embassy and has taken steps such as restricting their staff. Countering the US steps, China cancelled the visas of some correspondents of Wall Street Journal, Washington Post and others in Beijing and restricted their activities. Similar measures were adopted at the Confucius Institute of US Centre.Meanwhile, competition continues in scaling up military cooperation with the countries of the Indo-Pacific region. The US has attached top priority to military cooperation with Japan, Australia and ASEAN countries. There are talks of a military alliance led by the US being formed in the Asia-Pacific region, on the line of the Europe and North American alliance military NATO.Just last week the US signed a defence pact with the Maldives. US warships and Chinese navy are embroiled in a dangerous display of force in the South China Sea. It is more or less clear that a new Cold War is in the offing.Bangladesh’s foreign policy declares friendship towards all and malice to none. We have apparently adhered to this policy so far and have not been involved in any adversity. Our relations with neighbour India may have reached new heights, but we maintained our equidistance during the China-India clashes at the Ladakh border. Naturally this has worried India. The Indian media has been critical of Bangladesh’s close economic ties with China.The question is, what response will Bangladesh make to the US overtures for it to join in the Indo-Pacific strategy? Will the politicians and policymakers kindly discuss the matter openly?

]]>
https://dailyeconomist.net/opinion/news/1618/feed/ 0
Can Biden restore America’s lost soul? https://dailyeconomist.net/opinion/news/387/ https://dailyeconomist.net/opinion/news/387/#respond Mon, 09 Nov 2020 08:09:08 +0000 http://dailyeconomist.net/?p=387 The 2020 US Presidential election has been perhaps the most closely contested election that came down to the wire. It was not without its share of controversy, threats of lawsuits and, surprisingly for a democracy like America, marked by sporadic violence, attempted voter suppression—the intent resembling a trait in many countries of this region but carried out through subtler means—and accusations of likely vote rigging by, of all the people, the President himself. More people have voted in this election for the 46th President of the United States than ever before—around 68 percent of the voting-age population. And more people have turned out for Biden—more than 74 million (50.5 percent of voters), the highest turnout for any candidate surpassing Jefferson. It was a unique race too, conducted under the shadow of a pandemic that Trump handled so pathetically.Donald Trump seemed to be inflicted as a vengeance on the people of America in 2016 (although not by the majority of the voters), and indeed on the rest of the world, for putting a Black man in the White House for eight years. That “aberration” has been corrected but not without considerable damage at home to the American society, and abroad to its credibility. However, having for the first time not only a woman but an immigrant with Jamaican and Indian parentage as the Vice President of the US, come January 20, 2021, is definitely a balm to this damage.While the result has given a new President to the US, it has revealed something very ominous and disconcerting about America. One should see more than the visible outcome of the elections. The result shows a divided nation, thanks to Donald Trump’s untiring effort to enlarge the schism over the last four years. It is not surprising that Joe Biden won but that Donald Trump fought so close a battle. The outcome was never a foregone conclusion. And neither was it an outright rejection of Donald Trump, as the statistics show. What is remarkable is that if there are more people now than 2016 who do not want Trump as president, there are more people, more than 70 million (47.7 percent of voters) who want him to be. That means more people than in the past have articulated their preference for what Trump advocates—racism, religious bigotry and social inequality—and more people have come to conform to his values, principles and policies. And that is what is alarming, for Americans as well as for the rest of the world.His core voter base is now wider than the 30 percent we have been so used to hearing of. And that has wider implications considering that in the last four years, the Republican Party of yesteryears, the GOP, has mutated into the Republican Party of Trump. What will the party be without Trump? Will the GOP be able to revive its real character, which was so badly mutilated by Trump imposing his own convoluted and distorted persona onto it? The meekness and indeed the lack of ethics and the corrupted morality that was displayed by some of the leading Republican members of the Congress surpass even the most depraved and meanest of some of the politicians of our region.Second term elections in the US, we are told, is a referendum for the incumbent. According to poll pundits, there has been only one single deciding issue that has determined the results of US second term presidential elections in the last 50 years. The one that people deemed fitter of the two candidates to address that single issue had won, except on two occasions. The only issue this year was Covid-19 and who could handle the pandemic and its aftermath. The preference was for Biden, not surprisingly, given the ham-handed handling of the pandemic by Trump. That trend has continued in this election too. A botched handling has cost nearly 250,000 American lives lost to Covid-19, so far, and the election being lost to Biden. But one is not sure if the coronavirus has been the only consideration. It was a vote against chaos and divisive policies, for civility and truthfulness and against a person driven by megalomania.For a country that claims to be the leader of the free world, the world can only pity America for having been given a person like Donald Trump to lead it over the last four years. The Americans were inflicted the pains of an administration that was “defined by dishonesty” and the world saw an unpredictable, unstable leaderIn an article nearly four years ago, after Trump was sworn in as President, we had predicted that in the world stage, he would be like a bull in a China shop, breaking asunder the existing world order. It has been proved right. He has withdrawn from international agreements and global organisations such as the Paris Climate Accord and WHO, and weakened regional groupings. Biden has expressed his intention of rescinding those decisions. At home, Trump has wrecked the institutions of the government without any compunction. He has diluted the separation of power between the executive and the other branches, particularly the judiciary, making the Attorney-General his personal layer rather than the US’.Trump was a divider of people and he has left the US more divided than ever before along social and racial fault lines, evermore vividly exposed. He bared his misogynist tendencies and a megalomaniac disposition for power overriding the interests of his people, often unable to hide his racist inclinations by his race and religion-baiting utterances. To him, lying was first nature, an instinctive reaction. Trump felt more comfortable in the company of autocrats; he sacrificed science to his political interests, discarded global warming as a hoax, and to him, the figure of a quarter million dead Americans, all due to Covid-19, was only a statistic. He was a President who thrived on fear mongering and xenophobia.Joe Biden’s message is clear. He has promised change, but he will have much to do to revive the soul of America, putting together a fractured society that has lost its moral compass, and healing the wounds that Donald Trump in his reckless act of dividing the nation has caused. What the world would like to see, in the country that claims to be the leader of the world, is that dignity and civility of the office of the US President is restored, and that sanity of thoughts and actions prevails. The instant reactions of world leaders congratulating Biden on his victory is demonstrative of the relief of the international community. It is extraordinary that so many world leaders have welcomed his victory, even before the election has been officially called. The EU leaders have termed Biden’s victory as a great day for Europe and America while the NATO Commanders’ comments convey a hope for a revitalised organisation.It was one of the most important elections in the last several decades, which Biden and many others termed as the battle for America’s soul. The common refrain now is, what would a Trump-free US and world be like? And I cannot resist quoting a lady who in answer to that very question on Facebook replied, “Just as a Covid-free US and world would be.” Seldom have so few words conveyed so much.

]]>
https://dailyeconomist.net/opinion/news/387/feed/ 0
Optimistic budget in pandemic time https://dailyeconomist.net/opinion/news/391/ https://dailyeconomist.net/opinion/news/391/#respond Mon, 09 Nov 2020 08:08:33 +0000 http://dailyeconomist.net/?p=391 I don’t think there is any precedent of preparing a national budget in such a tough time with so much uncertainty as in this year. We are yet to understand where the COVID-19 will pandemic reach. That is why any plan to save the economy and free it from risks is bound to be based on speculation. The finance minister, with his ‘Economic Transition and Pathway to Progress’ budget, expressed hope. But I could not but extend my sympathy to him seeing him almost groping for solutions in the dark. At this moment it is uncertain where the depression and stagnancy in economic activities will reach. The burning issue in adopting policies is, how to maintain balance in saving lives and livelihoods with an eye on the spread of the pandemic. Sector-wise allocation in the budget has a big role to play but to face the crisis, a coordinated policy is necessary, which is not visible here.
Logically, the issues given importance in the proposed budget are: saving people’s lives considering the COVID-19 situation, widening social safety net including food security and arranging money as subsidies and incentives to various businesses including the agriculture sector. The question is, is this allocation enough to attain the goal, even if we think that the waste and corruption could be kept in check in its implementation process?
The budget has proposed to increase allocation to widen the social safety nets. But there are doubts whether this would be enough, especially if we consider the families who have fallen below the poverty line because of unemployment due to pandemic situation. Several survey reports said around four per cent of the GDP would be required in the social safety sector to meet the sustenance of the new poor families. However, that would depend on how the pandemic would spread and how strongly social distancing would have to be maintained to curb that. Here comes the question of saving lives and livelihood.
It can be said, the absence of a truly representative and strong local government system is being felt while implementing the social safety net schemes amid the COVID-19 situation. India’s state of Kerala is being regarded as a model in this case. The pandemic was brought under control there by implementing social distancing, detection of patients and distribution of relief materials through the strong local government.
The silver linings is, the amount of local and foreign loans of the government is not huge enough to create a risk for planning a sustainable budget in the future. That is why there is not much threat from the increased budget deficit.
The allocation for health sector in the proposed budget has been raised to almost one per cent of the GDP, which is almost double than the previous years. Still we would lag behind the lower-middle income countries in allocation in the sector. To manage the pandemic effectively, we would require, on the one hand, to arrange hospitals for the severe and critically ill patients and on the other hand, to arrange a large number of tests to detect the infected and those who already were infected and have grown resistance. According to the epidemiologists, no effective technique to curb the infection could be developed unless those two types of tests are done. In that case, a huge amount of money would have to be spent even if we could find a cheaper testing method.
The budget had to be planned amid serious fund constraints this year. Realising the projected revenue income, 12 per cent of the GDP, would be very much unlikely. It is also unsure how much speed the economy would gain after recovering from the depression. Despite the assurance of help from various international financial institutions, it is highly unlikely that that help would even come close to around US$ nine billion, or 40 per cent, of the budget deficit. The total budget deficit this year is almost around six per cent of the GDP, which is almost double than the average of previous years. The rest of the deficit, almost 45 per cent, would be met through bank loans and through selling savings bonds.Austerity measures would be required in government expenditures, because of resource limitations. Scrapping the not-so-important projects will be required. There could be questions that decreasing the allocation would lead to delay in completing the projects, but since we are long acquainted with the delay and rise of expenses of projects, this is nothing to be worried about actually.
But the silver linings is, the amount of local and foreign loans of the government is not huge enough to create a risk for planning a sustainable budget in the future. That is why there is not much threat from the increased budget deficit. Above all, there should not be much problem in meeting the demand for loans in the private sector even though the government borrows money from the banks, especially because it could be considered that the recovery of private sector would take time and the affected businesses will have the chance to take loans as part of the government’s incentive initiative through refinancing by the Bangladesh Bank.Austerity measures would be required in government expenditures, because of resource limitations. Scrapping the not-so-important projects will be required. Shrinking the allocation of over 1000 development projects could be necessary. There could be questions that decreasing the allocation would lead to delay in completing the projects, but since we are, for long acquainted with the delay and rise of expenses of projects, this is nothing to be worried about actually.Some projects should be given priority like the foreign funded projects or the mega-projects, delay of which could incur a huge loss, or the projects that could create more jobs. That’s why instead of decreasing the allocation of prioritised projects, we need to increase the allocation, if required. Those are: health safety sector because of COVID-19 situation, social safety net schemes including food security and required subsidies and incentives for recovery of the economy. There is no way but to think outside of the box in this critical period.

]]>
https://dailyeconomist.net/opinion/news/391/feed/ 0
How to break the hold of conspiracy theories https://dailyeconomist.net/opinion/news/88/ https://dailyeconomist.net/opinion/news/88/#respond Sat, 07 Nov 2020 01:49:27 +0000 http://dailyeconomist.net/?p=88 Lately, I have been putting an embarrassing amount of thought into notions like jinxes and knocking on wood. The polls for Joe Biden look good, but in 2020, any hint of optimism feels dangerously naïve, and my brain has been working overtime in search of potential doom.

I have become consumed with an alarming possibility: that neither the polls nor the actual outcome of the election really matter, because to a great many Americans, digital communication has already rendered empirical, observable reality beside the point.

If I sound jumpy, it’s because I spent a couple of hours recently chatting with Joan Donovan, the research director of the Shorenstein Center on Media, Politics and Public Policy at Harvard’s Kennedy School. Donovan is a pioneering scholar of misinformation and media manipulation — the way that activists, extremists and propagandists surf currents in our fragmented, poorly moderated media ecosystem to gain attention and influence society.

Donovan’s research team studies online lies the way crash-scene investigators study aviation disasters. They meticulously take apart specific hoaxes, conspiracy theories, viral political memes, harassment campaigns and other toxic online campaigns in search of the tactics that made each one explode into the public conversation.

This week, Donovan’s team published “The Media Manipulation Casebook,” a searchable online database of their research. It makes for grim reading — an accounting of the many failures of journalists, media companies, tech companies, policymakers, law enforcement officials and the national security establishment to anticipate and counteract the liars who seek to dupe us. Armed with these investigations, Donovan hopes we can all do better.

I hope she’s right. But studying her work also got me wondering whether we’re too late. Many Americans have become so deeply distrustful of one another that whatever happens on Nov. 3, they may refuse to accept the outcome. Every day I grow more fearful that the number of those Americans will be large enough to imperil our nation’s capacity to function as a cohesive society.

“I’m worried about political violence,” Donovan told me. America is heavily armed, and from Portland to Kenosha to the Michigan governor’s mansion, we have seen young men radicalised and organised online beginning to take the law into their own hands. Donovan told me she fears that “people who are armed are going to become dangerous, because they see no other way out.”

Media manipulation is a fairly novel area of research. It was only when Donald Trump won the White House by hitting it big with right-wing online subcultures — and after internet-mobilised authoritarians around the world pulled similar tricks — that serious scholars began to take notice.

The research has made a difference. In the 2016 election, tech companies and the mainstream media were often blind to the ways that right-wing groups, including white supremacists, were using bots, memes and other tricks of social media to “hack” the public’s attention, as the researchers Alice Marwick and Rebecca Lewis documented in 2017.

But the war since has been one of attrition. Propagandists keep discovering new ways to spread misinformation; researchers like Donovan and her colleagues keep sussing them out, and, usually quite late, media and tech companies move to fix the flaws — by which time the bad guys have moved on to some other way of spreading untruths.

While the media ecosystem has wised up in some ways: Note how the story supposedly revealing the contents of Hunter Biden’s laptop landed with a splat last week, quite different from the breathlessly irresponsible reporting on the Democrats’ hacked emails in 2016. But our society remains profoundly susceptible to mendacity.

Donovan worries about two factors in particular. One is the social isolation caused by the pandemic. Lots of Americans are stuck at home, many economically bereft and cut off from friends and relatives who might temper their passions — a perfect audience for peddlers of conspiracy theories.

Her other major worry is the conspiracy lollapalooza known as QAnon. It’s often short-handed the way Savannah Guthrie did at her town hall takedown of Donald Trump last week — as a nutty conspiracy theory in which a heroic Trump is prosecuting a secret war against a satanic paedophile ring of lefty elites.

But that undersells QAnon’s danger. To people who have been “Q-pilled,” QAnon plays a much deeper role in their lives; it has elements of a support group, a political party, a lifestyle brand, a collective delusion, a religion, a cult, a huge multiplayer game and an extremist network.

Donovan thinks of QAnon represents a new, flexible infrastructure for conspiracy. QAnon has origins in a tinfoil-hat story about a D.C.-area pizza shop, but over the years it has adapted to include theories about the “deep state” and the Mueller probe, Jeffrey Epstein, and a wild variety of misinformation about face masks, miracle cures, and other hoaxes regarding the coronavirus. QAnon has been linked to many instances of violence, and law enforcement and terrorism researchers discuss it as a growing security threat.

“We now have a densely networked conspiracy theory that is extendible, adaptable, flexible and resilient to take down,” Donovan said of QAnon. It’s a very internet story, analogous to the way Amazon expanded from an online bookstore into a general-purpose system for selling anything to anyone.

Facebook and YouTube this month launched new efforts to take down QAnon content, but Q adherents have often managed to evade deplatforming by softening and readjusting their messages. Recently, for instance, QAnon has adopted slogans like “Save the Children” and “Child Lives Matter,” and it seems to be appealing to anti-vaxxers and wellness moms.

QAnon is also participatory, and, in an uncertain time, it may seem like a salvation. People “are seeking answers and they’re finding a very receptive community in QAnon,” Donovan said.

This is a common theme in disinformation research: What makes digital lies so difficult to combat is not just the technology used to spread them, but also the nature of the societies they’re targeting, including their political cultures. Donovan compares QAnon to the Rev. Charles Coughlin, the priest whose radio show spread anti-Semitism in the Depression-era United States. Stopping Coughlin’s hate took a concerted effort, involving new regulations for radio broadcasters and condemnation of Coughlin by the Catholic Church.

Stopping QAnon will be harder; Coughlin was one hatemonger with a big microphone, while QAnon is a complex, decentralised, deceptive network of hate. But the principle remains: Combating the deception that has overrun public discourse should be a primary goal of our society. Otherwise, America ends in lies.

]]>
https://dailyeconomist.net/opinion/news/88/feed/ 0
Mr. Finance Minister, balance the sum please https://dailyeconomist.net/opinion/news/388/ https://dailyeconomist.net/opinion/news/388/#respond Fri, 06 Nov 2020 02:04:31 +0000 http://dailyeconomist.net/?p=388 There’s a heated debate on the GDP growth rate that the government declared for the 2019-20 fiscal. Quoting the Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics (BBS), the government recently declared 5.24 per cent GDP growth in FY2019-20. Experts rather vociferously said this unbelievable rate of GDP was ‘manufactured’ in order to show the economic fallout of novel coronavirus pandemic was less due to the unprecedented disaster in the last five and half months from 17 March.The experts considered the GDP growth a tall tale, especially because of the ‘magic’ in the first eight and half months of the fiscal year that apparently upturned all the negative effects on an economy that had almost come to a halt in the last three and half months. There is another reason for this disbelief: the finance minister had allegedly inflated the growth rates when he was planning minister. BBS works under the planning ministry.The five components of GDP are, consumption, investment, government spending, exports and imports. All these components were hit hard in the last three and half months of 2019-20 fiscal, statistics provided by the government said. The existence of most of the large, small and medium productive establishments of the country was at stake because of the slump in macro-level consumption in that time. The purchasing power of 90 per cent of the people shrunk and thousands lost their jobs. Almost 40 per cent of the people in the country are below poverty line now.It is the government that said private investment has declined to 12 per cent of the total GDP in 2019-20 from 24 per cent in the previous fiscal year. The government has also acknowledged that revenue earnings were were Tk 840 billion less than the estimated sum in the 2019-20 budget. The Annual Development Programme (ADP) expenditure of that fiscal year was 80 per cent of the revised ADP, which is generally around 90-95 per cent, the government admitted.The government further said export revenue in that fiscal was 25 per cent less than target. The amount was $6.86 billion less than the previous year. The import expenditure also declined but a lot less than the export earnings. Then by what magic did all these sector-wise disasters not affect the GDP growth? Mr. Finance Minister, will balance the sum please?The think-tank Centre for Policy Dialogue (CPD), in an online press conference, claimed that according to their calculations, the GDP growth rate of Bangladesh in 2019-20 fiscal was 2.5 per cent. According to them, the government’s declaration of GDP growth rate as 5.24 per cent has turned it into a ‘political number’, which was unwarranted.Finance minister AHM Mustafa Kamal termed CPD’s GDP calculation as a ‘presumption’ and questioned how CPD came up with their alternative GDP rate. He said CPD uses BBS statistics as ‘raw material’. It does not have any separate process of collecting data. Then, he asked, how did they reach that conclusion?It would benefit the nation if CPD responded to the finance minister’s challenge and clarified their alternative statistics in detail. I strongly believe, CPD would be able to prove that the 5.24 per cent GDP growth rate was the result of ‘data doctoring’ at the behest of the government, if it presents an analysis of BBS’ sector-wise statistics. Bangladesh is highly praised around the world for its GDP growth. That is why politically motivated data doctoring of GDP growth rates should be considered unnecessary and counter-productive.GDP growth of all the countries has declined due to the coronavirus pandemic. Many countries have even experienced negative growth rates. Would it be believable that only Bangladesh was not affected badly by this pandemic?As it is, the World Bank and IMF (International Monetary Fund) indirectly accuses all governments of Bangladesh of data doctoring. For long, World Bank, IMF and many other UN organisations do not consider the government-announced GDP growth as reliable. It is general knowledge that local and foreign institutions think other ‘vital statistics’ the BBS publishes are also increased and decreased at will. This doubt is not without basis. There are several instances of such manipulations:1. The government shows the total population of Bangladesh as less than actual. As a result, the population growth rate has been decreased to 1.3 per cent. According to UNFPA, the rate is 1.42 per cent.2. The per capita GDP could be increased artificially if the total nominal GDP is deducted by the ‘smaller number of population’. Recently, the government has claimed that per capita income of Bangladesh has risen from $1909 to $2064 on 30 June 2020.3. The rate of inflation is shown less so that the real per capita GDP could be increased while calculating real GDP from the nominal GDP.4. The government inflates the literacy rate, which the UNDP does not think credible enough for the Human Development Index.Politics has made such practice deep-rooted among almost all the countries of the third world. During the ‘Decade of Progress’ of the autocrat Ayub Khan in Pakistan times, the rate of GDP growth of erstwhile East Pakistan used to be shown as 4-5 per cent every year. Could that hide the truth that East Pakistan was deprived like a colonial state? There is a saying in English: ‘There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies and statistics.’This suggests the problem of data doctoring is a very old and an oft-practiced habit. This ‘political data doctoring’ is the greatest hindrance to developing a reliable government statistics organisation in the third world countries.Since the Second World War, developing and least developed countries got a huge amount of loans or grants from the United Nations, World Bank and other donor agencies for capacity building. But the money was wasted in the name of modernising the statistics system of the countries just because they aimed at the political gains of their governments.There is no doubt that the institutional capacity of Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics has increased a lot in the last 49 years, thanks to foreign loans and aid. But BBS will never develop into a reliable statistics institution if this practice of data doctoring is not scrapped. Do our rulers realise this?

]]>
https://dailyeconomist.net/opinion/news/388/feed/ 0
Amazon extends work from home option till June https://dailyeconomist.net/uncategorized/news/44/ https://dailyeconomist.net/uncategorized/news/44/#respond Fri, 30 Oct 2020 13:11:23 +0000 http://localhost/eco/?p=44 Amazon.com Inc on Tuesday told employees whose work can be done from home that they can do so until June, extending the timeline on a return to office due to the COVID-19 pandemic, reports Reuters.

“Employees who work in a role that can effectively be done from home are welcome to do so until June 30, 2021”, an Amazon spokeswoman said in an emailed statement on Tuesday, adding the guidance is applicable globally.

Amazon had earlier allowed that option until January.

The development comes less than three weeks after the world’s largest online retailer said more than 19,000 of its U.S. frontline workers contracted the coronavirus this year.

Some staff, elected officials and unions in recent months have said that Amazon put employees’ health at risk by keeping warehouses open during the pandemic.

“We have invested significant funds and resources to keep those who choose to come to the office safe through physical distancing, deep cleaning, temperature checks, and by providing face coverings and hand sanitizer,” the Amazon spokeswoman said on Tuesday.

In May, Twitter Inc became the first major tech company to allow employees who can work remotely to do so indefinitely.

Other tech giants have extended the work from home option for their employees with Microsoft Corp saying earlier this month it will let most employees work remotely for up to half their weekly working hours.

Facebook Inc had said it would allow its employees to work from home till July next year, while Google had extended the remote working period for employees who do not need to be in the office till June.

]]>
https://dailyeconomist.net/uncategorized/news/44/feed/ 0
Netflix falls short on new subscribers as pandemic boost fizzles https://dailyeconomist.net/uncategorized/news/40/ https://dailyeconomist.net/uncategorized/news/40/#respond Fri, 30 Oct 2020 13:03:45 +0000 http://localhost/eco/?p=40 Netflix Inc on Tuesday posted its weakest subscriber gains in four years as streaming competition increased, pandemic restrictions eased and live sports returned to television, reports Reuters.

The company added 2.2 million paid subscribers globally during the quarter that ended Sept. 30, missing Wall Street’s target of 3.4 million and its own forecast.

Earnings per share also landed below analyst expectations at $1.74. The consensus forecast was $2.14, according to IBES data from Refinitiv.

Shares of Netflix, one of the biggest gainers this year as people stayed home amid the pandemic, dropped nearly 6% to $494 in after-hours trading on Tuesday.

“Domestic subscribers were nearly flat, which highlights Netflix’s saturation in the U.S.,” said Ross Benes, analyst with eMarketer. With domestic additions slowing, revenue growth will likely come from price increases, he said.

The company reported a blockbuster quarter at the start of the worldwide coronavirus pandemic, adding 15.8 million paying customers from January through March.

Netflix had warned investors that a sudden surge in new sign-ups would fade in the latter half of the year as COVID-19 restrictions eased. Netflix forecast in the fourth quarter it would bring in 6 million new subscribers around the globe, short of the 6.51 million that analysts expected.

The streaming video pioneer is trying to win new customers and fend off competition as viewers embrace online entertainment. During the third quarter, Netflix released “Emily in Paris”, “Enola Holmes” and “The Devil All the Time.”

Netflix acknowledged that competition was increasing as studios across Hollywood from Walt Disney Co to AT&T Inc’s WarnerMedia have restructured to compete more directly for video subscribers.

“Competition for consumers’ time and engagement remains vibrant,” Netflix said in a letter to shareholders.

In recent months, major sports resumed play and nascent streaming services, including AT&T’s HBO Max and Comcast Corp’s Peacock, offered audiences new options.

Netflix said its results reflected the fact that it saw such a big surge in customers early in the year.

“We continue to view quarter-to-quarter fluctuations in paid net adds as not that meaningful in the context of the long run adoption of internet entertainment, which we believe is still early and should provide us with many years of strong future growth as we continue to improve our service,” the company said.

Netflix officials noted the company had pulled in more subscribers in the first nine months of 2020 than in all of 2019. It ended the third quarter with 195.2 million global streaming customers.

“Next time we get together, we should be over 200 million members, completing a year of 34 million (additions),” an annual record, Co-Chief Executive Reed Hastings said in an analyst interview.

The company also said it expected to complete shooting over 150 productions by the end of the year and that it would release more original programming in each quarter of 2021 compared with 2020.

Revenue rose 22.7% to $6.44 billion in the third quarter, edging past estimates of $6.38 billion.

Net income rose to $790 million, or $1.74 per share, in the quarter from $665.2 million, or $1.47 per share, a year earlier.

]]>
https://dailyeconomist.net/uncategorized/news/40/feed/ 0